Will Ethopia witness a future of Guerilla insurgency?
Ethiopia scholars fear a drawn-out insurgency with a rickety impact around east Africa. “The criminal clique pushed a patently false narrative that its fighters and supporters are battle-hardened and well-armed, posing the risk of protracted insurgency in the rugged mountains of Tigray,” Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed
In a report published by Reuters on Monday, the Ethiopian government denied that northern forces whom its troops have fought for a month would be able to mount a guerrilla insurgency. Although, diplomats said a United Nations team was shot at while trying to visit a refugee camp. Federal militaries have grabbed the regional capital Mekelle from the former local ruling party, the Tigray People’s Liberation Front (TPLF) and declared an end to their month-long offensive. But TPLF leaders declare they are fighting back on numerous fronts around Mekelle.
Ethiopia scholars fear a drawn-out insurgency with a rickety impact around east Africa. “The criminal clique pushed a patently false narrative that its fighters and supporters are battle-hardened and well-armed, posing the risk of protracted insurgency in the rugged mountains of Tigray,” Prime Minister Abiy Ahmed said in a statement.
“It also claimed that it has managed to undertake a strategic retreat with all its capability and regional government apparatus intact. The reality is the criminal clique is thoroughly defeated and in disarray, with the insignificant capability to mount a protracted insurgency”, he added. There was no instant TPLF response.
Cascade communications and approach for humanitarian workers and media were restricted, Reuters has not been able to authenticate claims from all sides in the situation of fighting. The United Nations security team seeking to get into Shimelba refugee camp, one of four for Eritrean refugees in Tigray was blocked and fired at on Sunday as claimed by two diplomatic sources. The sources denied to give more recounts and remarked the full circumstances as unclear. There was no instant comment from the government, TPLF, or United Nations.
The conflict, which banged after Abiy had pushed back against the TPLF’s past dominance of the federal government and accused them of abuses, is considering to have killed thousands of people. Also, has sent almost 50,000 refugees fleeing to Sudan, seen TPLF rockets fired into Eritrea, stirred ethnic divisions, and led to the unarming of Tigrayans in Ethiopia’s peacekeeping contingency litigating al Qaeda-linked militants in Somalia.
The United Nations and aid agencies are insisting on a safe approach to Tigray, which is home to more than 5 million people and where 600,000 dependent on food grants even before the war.
Besides ,the Ethiopian government issued arrest warrants for 10 senior police officers in Addis Ababa on Monday, acknowledging they had committed treason and rights abuses by accepting indefinite missions for the TPLF, as reported by state-controlled media.
For nearly three decades, TPLF dominated the government until Abiy held office in 2018 and broached democratic reforms. But the party impeaches him for seeking to centralize power at the expense of Ethiopia’s 10 regions and depicted Tigrayan officials were unfairly targeted in a crackdown on corruption and rights abuses. The government rejects that, and accuses TPLF leaders of treason, for the attack on federal forces in the starting November.